First, on the bomber counting rule... Its only a partial departure from START. Recall that under START bombers that did not carry cruise missiles counted as only one warhead, and those with cruise missiles had a 50% discount (carry 20, count as 10 for the U.S.) Let's call this the "Reagan rule" as he wanted arms control to limit Soviet missiles and let U.S. bombers run free. Anyway, the Russians already don't count bomber weapons under their Moscow Treaty force, because they are not deployed. So this may have been their idea, although, as you point out, we certainly do benefit because it wipes about 500 warheads off our books without any effort.

On the reentry vehicle inspections.  Under START we had 10 per year. I doubt that number will go up. This is really an issue for the Russians, since they are the ones who will worry about the number of warheads on our missiles (they will deploy with mostly full loadings, so "upload" is not an issue). The number of inspections will balance our interest in providing some transparency with our interest protecting the Navy's missile secrets and operational practices.  A lower number is a win for us, a higher number is a win for the Russians.

The New York Times reported yesterday that there will be an exchange of letters on missile defense. They will reserve the right to withdraw, and we will reserve the right to build whatever defenses we want, while reassuring them that those defenses are not directed at them.

I wouldn't count on seeing or hearing anything about deeper reductions any time soon, although there may be some kind of bland statement. Recall that some in the Senate who may support new START may not support deeper reductions, and you don't want to mix and cloud the issues when you need all the support you can get. Also, you probably won't hear anything about negotiations on nonstrategic weapons (from the U.S.) until NATO speaks through the new Strategic Concept.

I don't think there's much of an issue with the U.S. conventional systems (SSGNs and B-1s). They really can't be reconverted, and the Russians are pretty comfortable with this (at least for the SSGNs).

On where the cuts will come from... Well, its easy to cut a few bombers by changing the rules about what counts as "deployed." That does not cut into their conventional missions. The rest of the answer will be evident in the NPR. Can't really say more than that at this point.